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Stochastic portfolio optimization using efficiency evaluation

Paulo Rotela Junior (Institute of Production Engineering and Management, Federal University of Itajuba, Itajuba, Brazil)
Edson de Oliveira Pamplona (Institute of Production Engineering and Management, Federal University of Itajuba, Itajuba, Brazil)
Luiz Célio Souza Rocha (Institute of Production Engineering and Management, Federal University of Itajuba, Itajuba, Brazil)
Victor Eduardo de Mello Valerio (Institute of Production Engineering and Management, Federal University of Itajuba, Itajuba, Brazil)
Anderson Paulo Paiva (Institute of Production Engineering and Management, Federal University of Itajuba, Itajuba, Brazil)

Management Decision

ISSN: 0025-1747

Article publication date: 21 September 2015

677

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to analyze portfolios chosen using an efficiency evaluation that considers risk and uncertainty and optimizes the allocation of invested capital using the Sharpe approach.

Design/methodology/approach

The portfolios comprised shares on the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange. A chance-constrained data envelopment analysis stochastic optimization model was used, and return and variance were employed as input and output variables.

Findings

The model was shown to be viable. It reduced the search space and considered data randomness.

Originality/value

Three portfolios were proposed. The variation of the model’s risk criterion fulfilled the requirements of investors with different attitudes to risk. The model proposed can be used as a support tool for stock investment decisions.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank FAPEMIG, CNPq, and CAPES for financial and research support.

Citation

Rotela Junior, P., Pamplona, E.d.O., Rocha, L.C.S., Valerio, V.E.d.M. and Paiva, A.P. (2015), "Stochastic portfolio optimization using efficiency evaluation", Management Decision, Vol. 53 No. 8, pp. 1698-1713. https://doi.org/10.1108/MD-11-2014-0644

Publisher

:

Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2015, Emerald Group Publishing Limited

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