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The futures of futures: a scenario salon

Andy Hines (Andy Hines is Chair, Association of Professional Futurists and Ideation Leader with The Dow Chemical Company, Midland, Michigan, USA. E‐mail: ahines@dow.com)

Foresight

ISSN: 1463-6689

Article publication date: 1 August 2003

949

Abstract

The Association of Professional Futurists (APF) recently held a scenario salon that explored the “Futures of futures.” The centerpiece of the findings was the identification and implications of four critical uncertainties affecting futurists and the futures field. First, is addressing the extremely fragmented nature of the field. Futurists must get better at working together more closely as a field to be successful. Second, is the need to confront our aging tool kit. It is not as if methodological innovation has stopped, but it is seen as largely incremental. Third, is the need for futures to create a unique value proposition that distinguishes futurists from mainstream consultants. Finally, there is the poor public image of the field. This suggests that there is a long‐term task ahead of careful rebuilding the brand of futures through a more sophisticated engagement with the public, especially the media. The APF has formed working teams around these issues. The APF sees a generation task ahead, but is confident that together with our futurist colleagues, we can achieve our goal of a “credible profession, thriving professionals.”

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Citation

Hines, A. (2003), "The futures of futures: a scenario salon", Foresight, Vol. 5 No. 4, pp. 28-35. https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680310494735

Publisher

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MCB UP Ltd

Copyright © 2003, MCB UP Limited

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