A guide on empirical tests of the EMH
Review of Accounting and Finance
ISSN: 1475-7702
Article publication date: 22 March 2019
Issue publication date: 16 May 2019
Abstract
Purpose
The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) states that asset prices in financial markets always reflect all available information about economic fundamentals. The purpose of this paper is to provide a guide as to which predictions of the EMH seem to be borne out by empirical evidence.
Design/methodology/approach
Rather than following the classic three groups of tests for the different forms of EMH that are common in the literature, the authors consider how the two alternative definitions of the EMH and the joint hypothesis problem impact on the tests and leave the controversy unsolved. The authors briefly report the antecedents, the main theoretical and empirical contributions and recent literature on each type of tests.
Findings
Eventually, as a summary for each type of tests, the authors provide a critical view on the main sources of acrimony between the alternative schools of thought in understanding asset price formation.
Originality/value
The paper may be seen as an up-to-date introductory review for researchers on the different tests of the EMH performed, and for newcomers to understand the key sources of acrimony between rationalists and behaviorists.
Keywords
Citation
Peón, D., Antelo, M. and Calvo, A. (2019), "A guide on empirical tests of the EMH", Review of Accounting and Finance, Vol. 18 No. 2, pp. 268-295. https://doi.org/10.1108/RAF-02-2016-0031
Publisher
:Emerald Publishing Limited
Copyright © 2019, Emerald Publishing Limited